Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 8

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)


	Fleetwood Town		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.25
	3	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.13	3.57	2.31
	2.88	3.1	2.2
	3.04	3.5	2.26	Watch
	3.05	3.45	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (3.04)	3.42 ↑ (3.32)	2.26 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
30.8%

Draw
27.5%

Oxford United
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

27.9%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

26.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Fleetwood Town - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Oxford will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lynch J. (G) 18. Holgate H. 22. Nsiala A. 50. Armstrong F. 2. Johnston C. 10. Mayor D. 6. Robertson S. 8. Vela J. (C) 11. Broom R. 9. Stockley J. 14. Marriott J.	1. Beadle J. (G) 2. Long S. 5. Moore E. (C) 4. Thorniley J. 3. Brown C. 18. McGuane M. 8. Brannagan C. 7. Mills S. 20. Rodrigues R. 29. Edwards K. 10. Bodin B.
Substitutes
19. Graydon R. 5. Lawal B. 30. McMullan S. (G) 44. Patterson P. 15. Quitirna J. 17. Simons X. 7. Tshimanga K.	13. Eastwood S. (G) 19. Goodrham T. 23. Murphy J. 28. Negru S. 16. Perkins S. 14. Smyth O. 15. Stevens F.
Coaches
Brown S.	Manning L.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 0.

Fleetwood is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oxford is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Oxford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Fleetwood Town - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
English League One
02.09.23	Charlton Athletic - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Fleetwood Town - Shrewsbury Town	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Derby County - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
15.08.23	Bolton Wanderers - Fleetwood Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL
- Oxford United
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Northampton Town - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
English League One
02.09.23	Oxford United - Port Vale	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Oxford United - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Barnsley - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
15.08.23	Derby County - Oxford United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
14.01.23	Fleetwood Town - Oxford United	1:2
01.11.22	Oxford United - Fleetwood Town	1:1
15.04.22	Fleetwood Town - Oxford United	2:3
23.11.21	Oxford United - Fleetwood Town	3:1
30.01.21	Oxford United - Fleetwood Town	1:0
31.10.20	Fleetwood Town - Oxford United	2:0
07.09.19	Fleetwood Town - Oxford United	2:1

Upcoming Matches