Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 16 August 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Central Stadium Hagi Academy (Ovidiu) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bilbija L. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Romania	19:00	Prima Sport 1


	Flora Tallinn		Farul Constanța

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3	3.4	2.1
	3.1	3.3	2.25
	3.15	3.4	2.22
	3.15	3.41	2.24
	3.13	3.35	2.26
	3.25	3.5	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.24)	3.37 ↑ (3.37)	2.22 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flora Tallinn
30.1%

Draw
27.7%

Farul Constanța
42.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.7%

27.7%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

26.9%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Farul Constanța has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farul Constanța than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	5%	80%

Flora Tallinn - Farul Constanța Predictions

Users Predictions: Farul Constanța will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Grunvald E. (G) 26. Hussar K. 2. Kuusk M. 43. Seppik M. 25. Kallaste K. 14. Vassiljev K. (C) 10. Miller M. 74. Kuraksin D. 9. Alliku R. 8. Ojamaa H. 20. Zenjov S.	12. Aioani M. (G) 22. Sirbu D. 17. Larie I. (C) 3. Popescu M. 25. Kiki D. 6. Baluta T. 16. Nedelcu D. 18. Artean A. 26. Mazilu A. 9. Rivaldinho 10. Budescu C.
Substitutes
23. Kolobov M. 77. Lapa K. (G) 27. Lilander M. 4. Lukka M. 13. Mihhailov N. 30. Pajo T. 1. Paplavskis I. K. (G) 24. Purg H. 67. Vain B. 66. Veering R.	19. Andronache L. 21. Boli K. 1. Buzbuchi A. (G) 23. Carnat N. 99. Dussaut D. 24. Grameni C. 66. Grosu D. 74. Musat S. (G) 5. Queiros D. 77. Sali E. 13. Vianna F. 8. Vina I.
Coaches
Henn J.	Hagi G.

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium. 1st leg result: 0-3.

Flora is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Farul is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Farul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Flora have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Flora won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora Tallinn
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Farul Constanța - Flora Tallinn	3:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.08.23	Flora Tallinn - Kuressaare	4:0 ✺
28.07.23	Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.07.23	Flora Tallinn - Raków Częstochowa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWTLL
- Farul Constanța
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Farul Constanța - Flora Tallinn	3:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
06.08.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - Farul Constanța	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Urartu Yerevan - Farul Constanța	2:3 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
30.07.23	Farul Constanța - Politehnica Iași	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Farul Constanța - Urartu Yerevan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Farul Constanța - Flora Tallinn	3:0

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