Match Info

Date: 7 July 2022, Thursday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)

Referee: Lukic L. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Sport 1


	Flora Tallinn		SJK

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4
	1.87	3.25	4.33
	1.85	3.4	4
	1.83	3.2	4.2
	1.85	3.4	4.44
	1.7	3.54	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.17)	3.4 ↓ (3.46)	4.29 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flora Tallinn
51.1%

Draw
27.3%

SJK
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

26.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

25.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flora Tallinn's performance.

SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SJK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flora Tallinn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SJK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Flora Tallinn - SJK Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Flora will win (votes: 44 - 73.3%). SJK will win (votes: 8 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flora: 62.1% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Flora in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches SJK is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SJK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently SJK have a series of home games.

Flora will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
02.07.22	Tallinna JK Legion - Flora Tallinn	0:1 ✺
29.06.22	Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus	6:1 ✺
19.06.22	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	2:0 ✺
29.05.22	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	1:1 ✺
25.05.22	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTW
- SJK Seinajoki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.06.22	SJK - Haka	2:2 ✺
18.06.22	SJK - Inter Turku	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.06.22	SJK - Inter Turku	1:2 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
28.05.22	Oulu - SJK	1:0 ✺
21.05.22	SJK - IFK Mariehamn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLLW

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