The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SJK 54.3%
Draw 24.6%
IFK Mariehamn 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.9%
22.3%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57%
21.2%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SJK's form might have worsened.
IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
SJK - IFK Mariehamn Predictions
New Consensus by Tipsters:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.67) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
SJK will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Paunio R. (C) 5. Vaisto O. 4. Pires K. 2. Costantini F. 22. Vesterbacka L. 31. Onuoha E. 48. Traore A. 15. Mommo E. 23. Wilson A. 7. Kelwin 19. Mastokangas E.
1. Lund K. (G) 27. Richtner L. 2. Nurmi N. 53. Gyamfi F. 31. Ngulube S. 23. Widlund V. 20. Patut E. 16. Huttunen A. 14. Bergvik A. 18. Stroud A. 19. Jakobsen T.
Substitutes
8. Bostrom A. 42. Caio Araujo 51. Cisse A. 26. Moisio J. 28. Nwanege K. 9. Streng J. 49. Udom E. 27. Vellios A. 35. Viitala J. (G)
43. Andersson L. 12. Heino O. (G) 17. Holmberg R. 64. Hyvonen M. 5. Koivisto T. 3. Soiniemi A.
Coaches
Wiss J.
Bjorknesjo R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Bergvik A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Vesterbacka L. ↓, Cisse A. ↑,
46', Mastokangas E. ↓, Bostrom A. ↑,
57', Richtner L. 🟨,
63', Wilson A. ↓, Streng J. ↑,
63', Traore A. ↓, Caio Araujo ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Kelwin ⚽, Mommo E. (A),
70', Stroud A. 🟨,
71', Stroud A. ↓, Hyvonen M. ↑,
75', Streng J. 🟨,
77', Paunio R. ↓, Viitala J. ↑,
78', Huttunen A. ↓, Soiniemi A. ↑,
79', Pires K. 🟨,
80', Gyamfi F. 🟥,
82', Bergvik A. ↓, Koivisto T. ↑,
84', Caio Araujo 🟨,
85', Cisse A. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Bostrom A. ⚽, Caio Araujo (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SJK won 4.
SJK has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Mariehamn is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, SJK has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to SJK for this game.
Confirmed absences for SJK: Bjorkskog A.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Mariehamn: Dahlstrom S.
(Injury)
Lundberg A.
(Injury)
Monteiro R.
(Injury)
Nissinen J.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, SJK has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:23 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SJK against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 16:13 goals (averaging 1.6:1.3 per game).
Finland
World
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Paunio R. (C) 
Pires K. 
Costantini F. 
Traore A. 
Wilson A. 
Lund K. (G) 
Gyamfi F. 
Ngulube S. 
Jakobsen T. 
Udom E. 
Vellios A. 
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