Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 22

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Raatin stadion (Oulu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Oulu		SJK

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.40	3.50	Watch
	2.10	3.25	3.40
	2.04	3.35	3.20	Watch
	2.16	3.42	3.74
	2.04	3.55	3.55	Watch
	2.03	3.40	3.75
	1.94	3.48	3.76	Watch
	1.99	3.30	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.23)	3.39 ↓ (3.68)	3.54 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oulu
46%

Draw
27.6%

SJK
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

25.7%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

25.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SJK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SJK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Oulu - SJK Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Oulu will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oulu: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 16. Kemppainen O. 5. Pitkanen M. 66. Pirinen J. 18. Cassama A. 21. Mendolin I. 7. Karjalainen R. (C) 6. Paananen J. 14. Jokelainen N. 9. Riski Ro. 22. Kaukua T.	1. Paunio R. (C) 8. Bostrom A. 26. Moisio J. 5. Vaisto O. 28. Nwanege K. 14. Murilo Henrique 31. Onuoha E. 2. Costantini F. 15. Mommo E. 7. Kelwin 48. Traore A.
Substitutes
11. Ghezali L. 27. Kallio E. 3. Lietsa A. 8. Ojala M. 99. Schulz N. (G) 29. Silander S. 2. Sipola S. 24. Thomas C. S. 10. Triana C.	43. Bagayogo S. 42. Caio Araujo 51. Cisse A. 19. Mastokangas E. 9. Streng J. 49. Udom E. 27. Vellios A. 22. Vesterbacka L. 35. Viitala J. (G)
Coaches
Isokangas M.	Wiss J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Moisio J. ↓, Vesterbacka L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Onuoha E. 🟨,
60', Kelwin 🟨,
64', Jokelainen N. ↓, Ghezali L. ↑,
64', Riski Ro. ↓, Triana C. ↑,
70', Kelwin ↓, Vellios A. ↑,
89', Traore A. ↓, Caio Araujo ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

SJK is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Oulu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Oulu: Arsalo M. (Yellow Cards) Omotayo J. (Inactive) Tiihonen O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in SJK: Bjorkskog A. (Knee Injury) Pires K. (Red Card)

There are questionable in SJK: Paananen K. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Oulu	26	11	4	11	27:29	-2	37

Last Results with these Odds

Oulu - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.38%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.08.26	FF Jaro - Oulu	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Oulu - Inter Turku	2:3 ✺
09.08.26	Oulu - HJK	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Oulu - Ilves	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	IFK Mariehamn - Oulu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWT
- SJK Seinajoki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
21.08.26	SJK - Lahti	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	IFK Mariehamn - SJK	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	SJK - Gnistan	2:2 ✺
03.08.26	SJK - HJK	3:0 ✺
24.07.26	FF Jaro - SJK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.05.26	SJK - Oulu	0:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
31.01.26	Oulu - SJK	3:0
Finnish Cup
24.06.25	Oulu - SJK	2:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.05.25	Oulu - SJK	2:2
23.04.25	SJK - Oulu	3:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
26.02.25	SJK - Oulu	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.07.24	Oulu - SJK	1:2

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