Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 18

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Sportland Arena (Tallinn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee


	Flora U21		Levadia Tallinn U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.80	2.80
	2.1	3.95	2.62
	2.22	4.13	2.48
	2.2	4.29	2.46
	2.11	4.05	2.45
	2.3	4.27	2.5	Watch
	2.09	3.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.79)	4.06 ↓ (4.08)	2.56 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flora U21
42.3%

Draw
22.3%

Levadia Tallinn U21
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

22%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

21.2%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flora U21's form might have worsened.

Levadia Tallinn U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levadia Tallinn U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora U21 than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flora U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn U21 than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levadia Tallinn U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Flora U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Lehtmets G. (Penalty Awarded),
18', 0 - 2, Svedovski A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 3, Liiv H. ⚽,
69', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 8 in the zone Esiliiga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flora U21 won 5.

Flora U21 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Levadia U21 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Flora U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Flora U21 has had a series of away games.

Recently, Levadia U21 has had a series of home games.

Flora U21 might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Flora U21 will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flora U21 won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 45:23. (average 2.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Flora U21 won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Flora U21	31	15	6	10	72:53	19	51
5	Levadia U21	30	14	2	14	60:55	5	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora U21
Estonian Esiliiga
30.06.26	Nõmme United U21 - Flora U21	3:3 ✺
22.06.26	Elva - Flora U21	0:3 ✺
18.06.26	FC Tallinn - Flora U21	1:3 ✺
14.06.26	Flora U21 - Tallinna Kalev	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Tartu Welco - Flora U21	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWWT
- Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonian Esiliiga
21.06.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - FC Tallinn	4:0 ✺
18.06.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tartu Welco	1:3 ✺
14.06.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Viimsi JK	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Elva	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
05.04.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Flora U21	1:3
22.09.25	Flora U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	5:0
18.08.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Flora U21	1:2
08.05.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Flora U21	0:2
02.03.25	Flora U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:0
02.11.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Flora U21	2:4
21.08.24	Flora U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	4:1

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