Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 14

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Kadrioru Staadion (Tallinn)


	Tallinna Kalev		Levadia Tallinn U21

	1	X	2
	1.82	4.05	3.15	Watch
	1.88	4.06	3.18
	1.86	4	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.85)	4.04 ↓ (4.08)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev
48.9%

Draw
22.5%

Levadia Tallinn U21
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

22.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

19.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Levadia Tallinn U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tallinna Kalev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn U21 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kalev will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Kubensky S. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Sambe M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Sambe M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 3.

Kalev has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Levadia U21 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kalev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Levadia U21 has had a series of home games.

Kalev could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 2.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalev won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Levadia U21	30	14	2	14	60:55	5	44
6	Tallinna Kalev	30	11	7	12	52:55	-3	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga
27.05.26	Tallinna Kalev - Viimsi JK	0:3 ✺
24.05.26	Elva - Tallinna Kalev	3:1 ✺
14.05.26	FC Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Tallinna Kalev - Tartu Welco	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme United U21	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLTWT
- Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonian Esiliiga
28.05.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Elva	1:3 ✺
25.05.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Nõmme United U21	4:2 ✺
16.05.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:2 ✺
11.05.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Viimsi JK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
23.04.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev	3:2
11.09.21	Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:2
20.08.21	Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn U21	5:0
21.05.21	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev	3:4
19.10.17	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev	0:2
29.07.17	Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:0
06.05.17	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev	3:4

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