Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Flora U21		Pärnu Vaprus

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.1	1.7
	3.45	5	1.61
	4.18	4.35	1.69
	4.6	3.9	1.55
	3.46	5.2	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (4.16)	4.51 ↓ (5.5)	1.64 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flora U21
23.7%

Draw
20.3%

Pärnu Vaprus
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

16.4%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

13.8%

73.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pärnu Vaprus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora U21 than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flora U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Vaprus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Flora U21 - Pärnu Vaprus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Flora U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pärnu Vaprus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Flora U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pärnu Vaprus is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Flora U21 won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Flora U21 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora U21
Estonian Esiliiga
26.09.20	Flora U21 - Pärnu Linnameeskond	Canceled ✺
16.09.20	Flora U21 - Vändra Vaprus	4:1 ✺
13.09.20	Järve - Flora U21	0:1 ✺
28.08.20	Flora U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	0:4 ✺
24.08.20	Tammeka U21 - Flora U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 ?WWLL
- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Esiliiga
30.09.20	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Pärnu Vaprus	0:2 ✺
26.09.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:0 ✺
21.09.20	Tammeka U21 - Pärnu Vaprus	2:1 ✺
17.09.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Järve	1:0 ✺
12.09.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Elva	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
06.07.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Flora U21	2:2
04.06.20	Flora U21 - Pärnu Vaprus	0:1
03.10.19	Pärnu Vaprus - Flora U21	3:3
23.08.19	Flora U21 - Pärnu Vaprus	0:3
20.06.19	Pärnu Vaprus - Flora U21	0:0
04.05.19	Flora U21 - Pärnu Vaprus	0:0

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