Match Info

Date: 30 September 2020, Wednesday


	Levadia Tallinn U21		Pärnu Vaprus

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.8	1.57
	4.5	4.3	1.52
	5.4	4.1	1.47
	6.01	4.36	1.5
	4	3.5	1.7
	4.66	4.14	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↓ (4.94)	4.03 ↓ (4.5)	1.55 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadia Tallinn U21
18.7%

Draw
22.5%

Pärnu Vaprus
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

20%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

17%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia Tallinn U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn U21 than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Vaprus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Levadia Tallinn U21 - Pärnu Vaprus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Levadia U21 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pärnu Vaprus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pärnu Vaprus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pärnu Vaprus is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Levadia U21 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Levadia U21 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonian Esiliiga
26.09.20	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Nõmme United	1:0 ✺
17.09.20	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Vändra Vaprus	Canceled ✺
12.09.20	Tammeka U21 - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:1 ✺
24.08.20	Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:0 ✺
20.08.20	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tammeka U21	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 W?TLL
- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Esiliiga
26.09.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:0 ✺
21.09.20	Tammeka U21 - Pärnu Vaprus	2:1 ✺
17.09.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Järve	1:0 ✺
12.09.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Elva	6:0 ✺
23.08.20	Nõmme United - Pärnu Vaprus	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
24.07.20	Pärnu Vaprus - Levadia Tallinn U21	0:0
21.06.20	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Pärnu Vaprus	2:1
12.09.19	Pärnu Vaprus - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:6
09.08.19	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Pärnu Vaprus	1:2
23.05.19	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Pärnu Vaprus	0:3
08.04.19	Pärnu Vaprus - Levadia Tallinn U21	3:0

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