Match Info
Serie D - Round 10Date: 7 June 2026, SundayLocation: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)
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 |
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 |
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Sampaio Corrêa |
|
Iguatu |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.68 |
3.20 |
4.60 |
|
 |
1.57 |
3.40 |
5.60 |
|
 |
1.73 |
3.25 |
5.47 |
|
 |
1.70 |
2.90 |
5.00 |
|
 |
1.76 |
3.36 |
4.91 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.77) |
3.22 ↑
(3.1) |
5.12 ↑
(4.96) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sampaio Corrêa
53.9% | Draw
28.3% | Iguatu
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Iguatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iguatu than the current prediction. (+0.5%)Sampaio Corrêa - Iguatu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 🟥,
- 84', 0 - 1, Matheus Lima ⚽,
Preview
Sampaio Corrêa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Iguatu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Sampaio Corrêa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Sampaio Corrêa is a strong favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).Including home match between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Sampaio Corrêa - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 51.87%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 04.04.26 | Iguatu - Sampaio Corrêa | 0:0 | | 26.07.25 | Sampaio Corrêa - Iguatu | 1:1 | | 19.04.25 | Iguatu - Sampaio Corrêa | 1:0 |
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