Match Info

Serie C - Second stage - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Floresta		Londrina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.75	2.7
	2.72	2.48	2.98
	2.9	2.81	3.21
	3.09	2.25	3.24	Watch
	2.61	2.62	2.91	Watch
	2.58	2.68	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.59)	2.6 ↓ (2.74)	2.99 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
33.6%

Draw
35.5%

Londrina
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

32.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

32.5%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+1%)

Floresta - Londrina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Londrina (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Londrina (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dheimison (G) 17. Diego Matos 8. Guilherme Nunes 31. Icaro (C) 9. Jeam 4. Julio Vaz 2. Mateus Ludke 28. Pablo 14. Rodriguinho 30. Romarinho 13. Thomas Kayck	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 5. Alison 10. Cristiano 3. Gonzaga W. 11. Iago Teles 2. Joao Vitor 8. Lucas Marques 6. Mauricio Junior 9. Quirino 7. Vitinho 4. Wallace
Substitutes
16. Davi Castro 25. Diogo Mourao 18. Guilherme Martineli 27. Gustavo Ramos 15. Igor Dutra 22. Milton Raphael (G) 6. Rafael Furlan 5. Robson Alemao 7. Ruan 19. Rubens 11. Thiaguinho 3. Vitao	14. Cedric 19. Eliel 17. Henrique 21. Joao Tavares 12. Luan Ribeiro (G) 16. Matheus Leal 22. Rikelmi 20. Robson Duarte 13. Vanderley 15. Yago Lincoln 18. Ze Breno
Coaches
Leston Junior	Roger Silva

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Cristiano ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Vitinho ↓, Henrique ↑,
67', Pablo ↓, Ruan ↑,
76', Cristiano ↓, Ze Breno ↑,
77', Mateus Ludke ↓, Igor Dutra ↑,
81', Quirino ↓, Yago Lincoln ↑,
81', Iago Teles ↓, Matheus Leal ↑,
81', Lucas Marques ↓, Eliel ↑,
89', Diego Matos ↓, Rafael Furlan ↑,
89', Jeam ↓, Rubens ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet)

Floresta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Londrina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Londrina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Floresta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Floresta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
28.09.25	São Bernardo - Floresta	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Floresta - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Londrina - Floresta	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Floresta - Caxias	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Floresta - São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WTTTW
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
28.09.25	Caxias - Londrina	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Londrina - Caxias	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Londrina - Floresta	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	São Bernardo - Londrina	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Ponte Preta - Londrina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
14.09.25	Londrina - Floresta	0:0
20.04.25	Floresta - Londrina	0:2
04.08.24	Londrina - Floresta	0:0

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