Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Aparecida		Florgrade

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.15	2.72
	2.25	3.67	2.54
	2.42	3.42	2.62	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.63
	2.46	3.37	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.68)	3.34 ↑ (3.1)	2.63 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecida
38.5%

Draw
27.1%

Florgrade
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

28.8%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Florgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecida than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aparecida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florgrade than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Aparecida - Florgrade Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Teixeira D. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Zidane ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
75', 3 - 0, Samuel Cazares ⚽,
80', 4 - 0, Teixeira D. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aparecida won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Florgrade	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aparecida FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.04.26	Leça - Aparecida	5:1 ✺
22.03.26	Aparecida - Vila Real	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Rebordosa - Aparecida	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Vila Meã - Aparecida	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Aparecida - Resende	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLTW
- Florgrade FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.04.26	Florgrade - Resende	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Salgueiros 08 - Florgrade	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Florgrade - Beira-Mar	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Anadia - Florgrade	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Florgrade - Gouveia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.12.25	Florgrade - Aparecida	3:1

Aparecida - Florgrade: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide