Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 33

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday


	Flota Świnoujście		Gedania Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.1	3.9
	1.59	4.3	4.2
	1.63	4.31	4.14	Watch
	1.65	4	4.11	Watch
	1.59	4.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.56)	4.2 ↓ (4.4)	4.11 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flota Świnoujście
56.3%

Draw
21.6%

Gedania Gdańsk
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

17.8%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flota Świnoujście has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Gedania Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flota Świnoujście that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gedania Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Flota Świnoujście - Gedania Gdańsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Gedania will win (votes: 26 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gedania: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Gedania (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Gedania (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gedania Gdańsk will win (19 of 19 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Gedania (votes: 21 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 4)
49', 2 - 0, Yefimenko D. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
70', 2 - 2, ⚽,
78', 3 - 2, Yefimenko D. ⚽,
80', 3 - 3, ⚽,
86', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Flota have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gedania has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gedania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Flota is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Flota won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Flota won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.05.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Flota Świnoujście	3:1 ✺
21.05.25	Flota Świnoujście - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:3 ✺
15.05.25	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:3 ✺
10.05.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Flota Świnoujście	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LLLWW
- Gedania Gdańsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
24.05.25	Gedania Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:5 ✺
21.05.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Gedania Gdańsk	3:0 ✺
16.05.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Gedania Gdańsk	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Gedania Gdańsk	0:4 ✺
03.05.25	Gedania Gdańsk - Unia Swarzędz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.11.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Flota Świnoujście	1:1
13.04.24	Flota Świnoujście - Gedania Gdańsk	2:1
16.09.23	Gedania Gdańsk - Flota Świnoujście	4:1

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