Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 29

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	21:30	Globoplay, Premiere
Ecuador	19:30	Canal del Futbol
Usa	20:30	Fanatiz
International	00:30	TV Globo Internacional


	Fluminense		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.20	7.00	Watch
	1.49	4.50	6.25
	1.45	4.35	6.50	Watch
	1.52	4.46	6.76
	1.47	4.77	6.3
	1.50	4.40	6.55
	1.50	4.26	7.10	Watch
	1.50	4.30	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.49)	4.41 ↑ (4.18)	6.56 ↑ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
64%

Draw
21.6%

Coritiba
14.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22.4%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

21.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fluminense - Coritiba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Fluminense (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fluminense will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 23. Guga 3. Thiago Silva (C) 29. Millan J. 13. Guilherme Arana 35. Hercules 8. Martinelli 90. Serna K. 10. PH Ganso 11. Savarino J. 7. Hulk	22. Pedro Rangel (G) 14. Bustos F. 55. Jacy (C) 26. Bruno Melo 6. Felipe Jonatan 21. Thiago Santos 19. Gomez S. 5. Fonseca N. 10. Josue 77. Breno Lopes 32. Pedro Rocha
Substitutes
32. Acosta L. 19. Castillo R. 22. Freytes J. 4. Ignacio 21. Igor Rabello 44. Jemmes 46. Julio Fidelis 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 94. Otavio 41. Ruan Sales 2. Samuel Xavier 34. Wesley Nata	28. Fabinho 39. Gustavo 13. Keiller (G) 3. Maicon 18. Paulo Roberto 78. Renato Marques 66. Rodrigo Gelado 4. Rodrigo Moledo 99. Rodrigo Rodrigues 2. Tinga 50. Tissi 36. Vini Paulista
Coaches
Marcao	Fernando Seabra

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Jacy ↓, Rodrigo Moledo ↑,
30', 1 - 0, Savarino J. ⚽, Hulk (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Savarino J. ⚽, Thiago Silva (A),
62', Breno Lopes ↓, Fabinho ↑,
62', Pedro Rocha ↓, Paulo Roberto ↑,
62', PH Ganso ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
65', 3 - 0, Savarino J. ⚽, Serna K. (A),
74', Fonseca N. ↓, Tinga ↑,
74', Bustos F. ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
79', Hercules ↓, Otavio ↑,
79', Guga ↓, Samuel Xavier ↑,
79', Savarino J. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
86', Bruno Melo 🟨,
89', Hulk ↓, Wesley Nata ↑,
90+3', 4 - 0, Acosta L. ⚽, Wesley Nata (A),

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 9th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, Fluminense enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Confirmed absences for Fluminense: Alisson (Hip Injury) Cano G. (Hamstring Injury) Canobbio A. (Yellow Cards) Guga (Inactive) John Kennedy (Knee Injury) Matheus Reis (Knee Injury) Nonato (Yellow Cards).

Confirmed absences for Coritiba: Jacy (Inactive) Keno (Knee Injury) Lucas Ronier (Knee Injury) Ocampo B. (Ankle Injury) Tinga (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Fluminense: Ignacio (Hamstring Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Coritiba: Joao Pedro Chermont (Inactive).

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:23 (averaging 1.7:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fluminense against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 19:8 goals (averaging 2.1:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50:41	9	51
12	Coritiba	32	10	9	13	38:50	-12	39

Last Results with these Odds

Fluminense - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.88%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
20.09.26	Corinthians - Fluminense	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.09.26	Platense - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.09.26	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.09.26	Fluminense - Platense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.09.26	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
19.09.26	Vasco da Gama - Coritiba	5:0 ✺
11.09.26	Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense	3:3 ✺
06.09.26	Coritiba - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Remo - Coritiba	2:3 ✺
23.08.26	Coritiba - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
04.04.26	Coritiba - Fluminense	1:1
25.11.23	Fluminense - Coritiba	2:1
24.07.23	Coritiba - Fluminense	2:0
20.08.22	Fluminense - Coritiba	5:2
01.05.22	Coritiba - Fluminense	3:2
20.01.21	Coritiba - Fluminense	3:3
28.09.20	Fluminense - Coritiba	4:0

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