The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fluminense 62.9%
Draw 22.5%
Coritiba 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.9%
22.4%
14.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.3%
21.6%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Fluminense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Fluminense - Coritiba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
The betting markets point to Fluminense as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:23 (averaging 1.7:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fluminense against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 19:8 goals (averaging 2.1:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Fluminense
28
13
9
6
44:36
8
48
9
Coritiba
28
10
8
10
37:43
-6
38
Last Results with these Odds
Fluminense - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.88%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
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