The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fluminense 53.9%
Draw 26.1%
Atlético Goianiense 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.7%
23.1%
14.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.3%
22.5%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fluminense's form might have worsened.
Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Goianiense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fluminense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
21.4%
7.1%
Fluminense - Atlético Goianiense Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 4. Marlon 30. Felipe Melo (C) 12. Marcelo 5. Alexsander 45. Lima 10. PH Ganso 77. Marquinhos 14. Cano G. 11. Keno
1. Ronaldo Strada (C) 2. Maguinho 3. Adriano Martins 4. Pedro Henrique 6. Cruz A. 5. Lucas Kal 8. Baralhas 7. Rhaldney 10. Shaylon 11. Luiz Fernando 9. Rodriguez E.
Substitutes
80. David Terans 6. Diogo Barbosa 90. Douglas Costa 27. Felipe Alves (G) 22. Gabriel Pires 23. Guga 32. Isaac 9. John Kennedy 19. Kaua Elias 26. Manoel 20. Renato Augusto 29. Thiago Santos
19. Derek 12. Emerson Junior (G) 13. Luiz Gustavo 20. Max 16. Randerson 14. Rodallega Y. 15. Roni 18. Vagner Love 17. Zuleta M.
Coaches
Fernando Diniz
Jair Ventura
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, PH Ganso ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Felipe Melo ↓, Manoel ↑,
59', Marcelo ↓, Diogo Barbosa ↑,
64', Rodriguez E. ↓, Derek ↑,
64', Baralhas ↓, Max ↑,
67', Samuel Xavier 🟨,
70', Adriano Martins 🟨,
70', PH Ganso 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
78', Alexsander ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
78', Keno ↓, Isaac ↑,
78', Samuel Xavier ↓, Renato Augusto ↑,
90', Luiz Fernando ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
90+3', Marlon 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Zuleta M. ⚽,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 0.
Fluminense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Atlético GO is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Atlético GO could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Fluminense have a series of home games.
In this match Fluminense is a favorite.
There will not play in Fluminense: Andre
(Injury)
Lele
(Injury)
There will not play in Atlético GO: Gustavo Campanharo
(Injury)
Yony Gonzalez
(Injury)
There are questionable in Fluminense: Felipe Melo
(Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.