Match Info

Date: 25 August 2020, Tuesday


	Fluminense		Figueirense

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.2	9.5
	1.36	4.1	8
	1.4	4.2	6.4
	1.38	3.85	7.8
	1.37	4.11	9.4
	1.42	4.2	8
	1.44	4.1	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.42)	4.11 ↓ (4.3)	8.1 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
66.3%

Draw
22.4%

Figueirense
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

21.7%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.3%

18.5%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fluminense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Fluminense - Figueirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1. Limited number of spectators.

Recent matches Fluminense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Figueirense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fluminense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fluminense is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
22.08.20	Athletico Paranaense - Fluminense	0:1 ✺
19.08.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
16.08.20	Fluminense - Internacional RS	2:1 ✺
12.08.20	Fluminense - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
09.08.20	Grêmio - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WLWTL
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie B
22.08.20	Botafogo SP - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
16.08.20	Figueirense - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
11.08.20	Figueirense - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
08.08.20	Operário Ferroviario - Figueirense	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
29.07.20	Figueirense - Grêmio Juventus	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
11.03.20	Figueirense - Fluminense	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
27.11.16	Figueirense - Fluminense	1:0
03.09.16	Fluminense - Figueirense	3:2
06.12.15	Figueirense - Fluminense	1:0
16.08.15	Fluminense - Figueirense	2:1
10.09.14	Figueirense - Fluminense	1:1
19.04.14	Fluminense - Figueirense	3:0

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