Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 21

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques (Bragança Paulista)

Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Fanatiz
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Turkey	Spor Smart 2
Usa	Fanatiz


	Red Bull Bragantino		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.9	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.6
	2.58	2.98	2.92
	2.67	3.15	3.05
	2.4	2.9	3
	2.56	3.16	2.99	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.14)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)	3.12 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
38.8%

Draw
30.8%

Fluminense
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.8%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

27.8%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Bull Bragantino's form might have worsened.

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	24%	60%

Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Fluminense will win (votes: 15 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Fluminense (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Fluminense (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (C) 45. Nathan Mendes 14. Pedro Henrique 2. Rodriguez G. 12. Vanderlan 7. Eric Ramires 5. Fabinho 10. Jhon Jhon 25. Praxedes 8. Eduardo Sasha 33. Laquintana I.	1. Fabio (G) 23. Guga (C) 26. Manoel 22. Freytes J. 12. Fuentes G. 5. Bernal F. 35. Hercules 32. Acosta L. 17. Canobbio A. 14. Cano G. 90. Serna K.
Substitutes
59. Athyrson 18. Borbas T. 27. Davi Gomes 37. Fabricio (G) 31. Guilherme 16. Gustavo Marques 22. Gustavo Neves 80. Joao Neto 40. Lucao (G) 57. Marcelinho 35. Matheus Fernandes 30. Mosquera H.	9. Everaldo 21. Igor Rabello 99. John Kennedy 45. Lima 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 30. Moreno S. 16. Nonato 6. Rene 28. Riquelme Felipe 2. Samuel Xavier 7. Soteldo Y. 29. Thiago Santos
Coaches
Fernando Seabra	Renato Gaucho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Jhon Jhon ⚽, Laquintana I. (A),
4', 2 - 0, Eduardo Sasha ⚽, Laquintana I. (A),
26', Acosta L. 🟨,
38', Laquintana I. 🟨,
45', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 1, Hercules ⚽, Canobbio A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Praxedes ↓, Davi Gomes ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Laquintana I. ⚽, Vanderlan (A),
51', Cleiton 🟨,
61', Canobbio A. 🟨,
63', 3 - 2, Acosta L. ⚽,
65', Marcelo Pitaluga 🟨,
69', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
69', Laquintana I. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
76', Manoel ↓, Nonato ↑,
76', Canobbio A. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
78', Vanderlan ↓, Guilherme ↑,
80', Pedro Henrique ↓, Gustavo Marques ↑,
81', 4 - 2, Davi Gomes ⚽, Borbas T. (A),
84', Acosta L. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.

RB Bragantino has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fluminense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

RB Bragantino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Santos (Ankle Injury) Fernando (Calf Injury) Gabriel (Yellow Cards) Hurtado A. (Knock) Juninho Capixaba (Knee Injury) Lucas Barbosa (Yellow Cards) Mosquera H. (Muscle Injury) Pitta I. (Inactive) Sant'Anna A. (Knock) Vinicinho (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Fluminense: Ignacio (Knee Injury) Martinelli (Yellow Cards) Nonato (Hamstring Injury) Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Fluminense: Cano G. (Injury) Soteldo Y. (Hamstring Injury) Thiago Silva (Hamstring Injury)

We predict that Fluminense will win today's game, with odds of 3.39.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.25	Ceará - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Internacional RS	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.08.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.08.25	Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
29.07.25	Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Fluminense RJ
Copa Sudamericana
19.08.25	Fluminense - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.25	Fluminense - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.25	América de Cali - Fluminense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.25	Bahia - Fluminense	3:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.08.25	Fluminense - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
06.04.25	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1
28.07.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense	0:1
13.04.24	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2
22.10.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense	1:0
04.06.23	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1
13.11.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Fluminense	0:1
24.07.22	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1

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