Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 11

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday


	Fluminense U20		Grêmio U20

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.7	3.55	4.4
	1.66	3.81	4.93
	1.67	3.72	4.51
	1.62	3.64	4.82
	1.7	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.83)	3.61 ↑ (3.6)	4.46 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense U20
54.1%

Draw
25.4%

Grêmio U20
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

24.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

24%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense U20's performance.

Grêmio U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense U20 than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio U20 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fluminense U20 - Grêmio U20 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense U20 (votes: 1 - 50%). Grêmio U20 (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Kevin ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 1, Wallace Davi ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 1, Arthur ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense U20 won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fluminense U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fluminense U20 is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fluminense U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense U20
Brasileiro U20
13.05.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Fluminense U20	3:1 ✺
07.05.25	Fluminense U20 - São Paulo U20	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
04.05.25	Fluminense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
30.04.25	Juventude U20 - Fluminense U20	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
26.04.25	Madureira U20 - Fluminense U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLW
- Grêmio RS U20
Brazilian Gaucho U20
16.05.25	Grêmio U20 - Brasil de Farroupilha U20	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
14.05.25	Grêmio U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Gaucho U20
11.05.25	Ypiranga de Erechim U20 - Grêmio U20	0:4 ✺
Brasileiro U20
07.05.25	Santos U20 - Grêmio U20	3:0 ✺
30.04.25	Grêmio U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
10.07.24	Fluminense U20 - Grêmio U20	3:0
05.06.22	Fluminense U20 - Grêmio U20	0:1
12.10.21	Fluminense U20 - Grêmio U20	0:1
07.10.20	Grêmio U20 - Fluminense U20	0:2
16.10.19	Grêmio U20 - Fluminense U20	3:4
04.07.18	Fluminense U20 - Grêmio U20	2:3
Copa do Brasil U20
18.04.18	Grêmio U20 - Fluminense U20	2:1

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