Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 30

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Emile Mayrisch (Esch-sur-Alzette)


	Fola Esch		Victoria Rosport

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.9	1.57
	4.6	4	1.58
	4.13	3.98	1.63
	4.62	4.05	1.6	Watch
	5.31	3.88	1.53
	4.6	4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↓ (5.23)	3.97 ↓ (4.81)	1.58 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fola Esch
19.6%

Draw
22.9%

Victoria Rosport
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

18.9%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

18%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fola Esch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Victoria Rosport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Victoria Rosport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fola Esch than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria Rosport than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Victoria Rosport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fola Esch - Victoria Rosport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cabral E. (G) 31. Amou L. 8. Balance Y. 9. Diakhite P. 70. Dos Santos Aleixo R. 72. Ferreira A. 23. Freitas D. 6. Funck P. 28. Klein J. (C) 12. Neves E. 24. Paulus F.	26. Zingen M. (G) 4. Bechtold M. 23. Brandenburger E. 21. Carratala-Jimenez E. 24. Dossou J. 2. Faldey J. 77. Ferreira A. 3. Kyere B. 11. Markvoort Beke J. 27. Steinbach J. 13. Vogel B. (C)
Substitutes
21. Belindro Loureiro R. 3. Lahure R. 15. Lopes Monteiro Y. 7. Mendes E. 30. Nibigira M. (G) 20. Pauly C. 17. Scholler A.	10. Bouche Y. 99. Jiang B. (G) 8. Neves Araujo J. 87. Silva R. 18. Soares J. 19. Trombini S. 17. Wagner L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Dossou J. ⚽,
27', Freitas D. ↓, Lahure R. ↑,
43', 0 - 2, Markvoort Beke J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', Paulus F. ↓, Pauly C. ↑,
53', Klein J. ↓, Scholler A. ↑,
61', Lahure R. 🟨,
71', Cabral E. ↓, Nibigira M. ↑,
71', Diakhite P. ↓, Belindro Loureiro R. ↑,
72', Carratala-Jimenez E. ↓, Neves Araujo J. ↑,
72', Ferreira A. ↓, Soares J. ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Neves Araujo J. ⚽, Dossou J. (A),
80', Markvoort Beke J. ↓, Silva R. ↑,
80', Dossou J. ↓, Trombini S. ↑,
84', Vogel B. ↓, Bouche Y. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Scholler A. ⚽, Ferreira A. (A),
89', 1 - 4, Pauly C. (Own goal),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Fola is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fola won 1.

In recent matches, Fola has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Victoria Rosport's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Victoria Rosport is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fola won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 44:24. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Fola won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fola Esch
Luxembourg National Division
18.05.25	Bettembourg - Fola Esch	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Fola Esch - Jeunesse Esch	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Mondercange - Fola Esch	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Fola Esch - Swift Hesperange	0:3 ✺
18.04.25	Pétange - Fola Esch	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 LLWLW
- FC Victoria Rosport
Luxembourg National Division
18.05.25	Victoria Rosport - UNA Strassen	0:3 ✺
11.05.25	Racing Luxembourg - Victoria Rosport	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Victoria Rosport - Wiltz 71	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Rodange - Victoria Rosport	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Victoria Rosport - Differdange 03	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
04.08.24	Victoria Rosport - Fola Esch	1:0
30.03.24	Victoria Rosport - Fola Esch	2:3
27.09.23	Fola Esch - Victoria Rosport	0:1
Luxembourg Cup
12.04.23	Victoria Rosport - Fola Esch	2:0
Luxembourg National Division
08.04.23	Victoria Rosport - Fola Esch	3:0
23.10.22	Fola Esch - Victoria Rosport	4:1
20.02.22	Victoria Rosport - Fola Esch	1:2

Fola Esch - Victoria Rosport: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide