Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Folkestone Invicta		Bognor Regis Town

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.6	3.6
	1.8	3.65	3.65
	1.76	4.07	3.66
	1.99	3.88	3.04
	1.79	3.64	3.76
	1.8	3.65	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.63)	3.75 ↓ (3.76)	3.56 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
50.1%

Draw
24.3%

Bognor Regis Town
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

24.2%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

23.8%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Folkestone Invicta's form might have worsened.

Bognor Regis Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bognor Regis Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bognor Regis Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Folkestone Invicta - Bognor Regis Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Gayle I. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Higgs T. (Pen),
45+1', 2 - 1, Smith D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
79', 3 - 1, Smith D. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, Smith D. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Folkestone won 2.

Recent matches Folkestone is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bognor Regis is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bognor Regis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Folkestone have a series of home games.

In this match Folkestone is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Folkestone won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20:27 (average 1.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Folkestone won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.11.24	Folkestone Invicta - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Folkestone Invicta - Hanwell Town	0:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.11.24	Folkestone Invicta - Cray Wanderers	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	Folkestone Invicta - Dover Athletic	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Carshalton Athletic - Folkestone Invicta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLL
- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.11.24	Bognor Regis Town - Carshalton Athletic	1:1 ✺
12.11.24	Lewes - Bognor Regis Town	4:1 ✺
09.11.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Bognor Regis Town	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Bognor Regis Town - Cheshunt	0:4 ✺
19.10.24	Bognor Regis Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.04.24	Bognor Regis Town - Folkestone Invicta	4:0
25.11.23	Folkestone Invicta - Bognor Regis Town	0:1
22.04.23	Bognor Regis Town - Folkestone Invicta	2:0
10.12.22	Folkestone Invicta - Bognor Regis Town	4:1
26.02.22	Folkestone Invicta - Bognor Regis Town	1:0
26.10.21	Bognor Regis Town - Folkestone Invicta	2:4
18.01.20	Bognor Regis Town - Folkestone Invicta	4:3

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