Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday


	Folkestone Invicta		Hastings United

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.66	3.75	4.3
	1.69	3.78	4.29
	2	3.6	3.2
	1.71	3.68	4.12
	1.66	3.75	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.13)	3.69 ↑ (3.48)	4.07 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
52.8%

Draw
24.7%

Hastings United
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

25.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Folkestone Invicta's performance.

Hastings United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hastings United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folkestone Invicta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hastings United than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hastings United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Folkestone Invicta - Hastings United Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Folkestone will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Kouassi E. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Ekpiteta M. ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, Gayle I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 3 - 1, Legg F. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Folkestone is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hastings is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Folkestone is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Folkestone won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Folkestone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.12.24	Folkestone Invicta - Wingate & Finchley	3:2 ✺
26.12.24	Lewes - Folkestone Invicta	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Folkestone Invicta - Dartford	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Chatham Town - Folkestone Invicta	4:1 ✺
10.12.24	Potters Bar Town - Folkestone Invicta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLLL
- Hastings United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.12.24	Bognor Regis Town - Hastings United	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Hastings United - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
21.12.24	Hastings United - Bowers & Pitsea	2:4 ✺
14.12.24	Billericay Town - Hastings United	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Chichester City - Hastings United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.08.24	Hastings United - Folkestone Invicta	1:2
01.04.24	Hastings United - Folkestone Invicta	2:1
26.12.23	Folkestone Invicta - Hastings United	0:5
07.02.23	Hastings United - Folkestone Invicta	2:1
16.08.22	Folkestone Invicta - Hastings United	0:0

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