Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Folkestone Invicta		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.85	7.5
	1.31	5.39	7.28
	1.37	4.99	6.46	Watch
	1.28	5.05	8.2
	1.32	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)	5.06 ↑ (4.56)	7.39 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
69.5%

Draw
18.1%

Wingate & Finchley
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.1%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

15.2%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folkestone Invicta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wingate & Finchley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Folkestone Invicta - Wingate & Finchley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Thomas D. ⚽,
6', 2 - 0, Hutchinson J. ⚽,
19', 3 - 0, Lovatt A. ⚽,
24', 4 - 0, McKenzie M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folkestone won 3.

In recent matches, Folkestone has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wingate & Finchley is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Wingate & Finchley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Folkestone is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Folkestone won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:16. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Folkestone won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 2.1:0.9).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Wingate & Finchley: 1.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13:18	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Burgess Hill Town	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Folkestone Invicta	0:0 ✺
06.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Aveley	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Chatham Town	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Ramsgate - Folkestone Invicta	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TTLLW
- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.01.26	Chichester City - Wingate & Finchley	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Welling United - Wingate & Finchley	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	St Albans City - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Wingate & Finchley - Cray Wanderers	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Wingate & Finchley	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.11.25	Wingate & Finchley - Folkestone Invicta	0:1
28.12.24	Folkestone Invicta - Wingate & Finchley	3:2
17.08.24	Wingate & Finchley - Folkestone Invicta	Abandoned
06.01.24	Folkestone Invicta - Wingate & Finchley	1:1
12.08.23	Wingate & Finchley - Folkestone Invicta	0:4
07.01.23	Wingate & Finchley - Folkestone Invicta	0:2
20.08.22	Folkestone Invicta - Wingate & Finchley	2:1

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