Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 16

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Potters Bar Town		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	4.95	4.45	1.47
	5.16	4.57	1.48
	3.43	4.08	1.80	Watch
	5.75	4.3	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (3.43)	4.35 ↑ (4.08)	1.55 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potters Bar Town
19.1%

Draw
21.2%

Folkestone Invicta
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

22.4%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

21.6%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potters Bar Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Potters Bar Town's form might have worsened.

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Folkestone Invicta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potters Bar Town than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Potters Bar Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Folkestone Invicta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Potters Bar Town - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Pigott J. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Rance D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 3, Yusuff A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Potters Bar won 1.

Potters Bar has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Folkestone is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Potters Bar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Folkestone is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Potters Bar won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 1.3:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Potters Bar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:23. (average 1.5:3.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potters Bar Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.11.25	Carshalton Athletic - Potters Bar Town	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Billericay Town - Potters Bar Town	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Potters Bar Town - Aveley	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Dartford - Potters Bar Town	4:1 ✺
11.10.25	Potters Bar Town - Canvey Island	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.11.25	Welling United - Folkestone Invicta	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Folkestone Invicta - Billericay Town	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Hashtag United - Folkestone Invicta	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:4 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.10.25	Folkestone Invicta - Lewes	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.03.25	Folkestone Invicta - Potters Bar Town	1:1
10.12.24	Potters Bar Town - Folkestone Invicta	3:2
27.02.24	Folkestone Invicta - Potters Bar Town	0:0
26.09.23	Potters Bar Town - Folkestone Invicta	3:3
25.02.23	Potters Bar Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:5
24.09.22	Folkestone Invicta - Potters Bar Town	2:3
29.01.22	Potters Bar Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:7

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