Match Info

NM Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Langhus kunstgress (Langhus)


	Follo		Moss

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.3	3.8	1.78
	3	3.45	2.1
	2.91	3.89	2.17
	2.95	3.8	2.16	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	3.23	3.82	2.04	Watch
	3	3.45	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.9)	3.59 ↓ (4.14)	2.06 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Follo
29.9%

Draw
25.6%

Moss
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

22.2%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

19.5%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Follo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Follo's performance.

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moss might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follo than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Follo - Moss Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Follo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Moss will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Moss will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Follo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moss is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moss could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Moss will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Follo
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
19.04.25	Strømmen - Follo	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.04.25	Ullern - Follo	2:5 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
05.04.25	Follo - Strindheim	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Asker Fotball - Follo	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Kvik Halden - Follo	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWTW
- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Kongsvinger - Moss	6:0 ✺
05.04.25	Moss - Ranheim	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Raufoss - Moss	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Lyn - Moss	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Mjøndalen - Moss	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLTL

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