Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 27

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bislett Stadium (Oslo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mertens J. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	17:00	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Lyn		Moss

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.50	2.55
	2.20	3.60	2.70
	2.17	3.60	2.70
	2.41	3.75	2.97
	2.18	3.83	2.91	Watch
	2.35	3.45	2.85
	2.39	3.64	2.66	Watch
	2.23	3.55	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.79)	3.62 ↓ (3.8)	2.76 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyn
40.7%

Draw
25.7%

Moss
33.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.6%

23.8%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

23%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyn's form might have worsened.

Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moss's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moss, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lyn - Moss Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Moss will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moss (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedersen A. (C) 18. Nilsen H. 3. Race E. 6. Midtskogen A. 27. Barnett I. 29. Gueye O. 24. Fredriksen D. 17. Nois J. 9. Olsen A. 11. Hellum A. 10. Johansen M.	1. Eriksen M. (C) 4. Ibsen N. 24. Njie M. 5. Jebali O. 2. Cassidy M. 8. Vold Krohg H. 17. Andersen P. 7. Alexandersson N. 46. Kvale W. 25. Usman T. 10. Njie M.
Substitutes
25. Andersen M. (G) 2. Gherezghiher D. 26. Memedov A. 7. Monglo I. 21. Skaug J. 30. Sock F. 20. Waehler W. T.	9. Aga O. 26. Chidi E. 21. Gronli S. 31. Harveg J. 23. Hermanstad R. 14. Musbaudeen J. 22. Ogbole J. 12. Rylandsholm M. (G) 27. Selnaes J. S.
Coaches
Aadland M.	Bakke G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Alexandersson N. ↓, Musbaudeen J. ↑,
31', Aadland M. 🟨,
45', Njie M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Andersen P. 🟨,
64', Usman T. ↓, Hermanstad R. ↑,
64', Nois J. ↓, Skaug J. ↑,
64', Andersen P. ↓, Gronli S. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Gueye O. ⚽, Midtskogen A. (A),
76', Johansen M. ↓, Memedov A. ↑,
76', Hellum A. ↓, Sock F. ↑,
80', Njie M. ↓, Chidi E. ↑,
87', Cassidy M. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyn won 2.

Lyn is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Moss have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Lyn is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Lyn has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:16 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lyn against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 1.8:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Lyn	28	9	4	15	42:59	-17	31
14	Moss	28	8	5	15	41:59	-18	29

Last Results with these Odds

Moss - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.53%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.10.26	Haugesund - Lyn	3:0 ✺
11.10.26	Lyn - Strømsgodset	1:5 ✺
04.10.26	Bryne - Lyn	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Lyn - Ranheim	1:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Gamle Oslo - Lyn	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.10.26	Moss - Egersund	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Raufoss - Moss	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Moss - Kongsvinger	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
23.09.26	Grorud - Moss	2:1 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.26	Sandnes Ulf - Moss	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.04.26	Moss - Lyn	2:1
Club Friendly
21.03.26	Lyn - Moss	3:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.10.25	Lyn - Moss	4:0
11.05.25	Moss - Lyn	2:0
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Lyn - Moss	1:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
09.11.24	Lyn - Moss	1:2
01.04.24	Moss - Lyn	3:0

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