Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Follonica Gavorrano		Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.15	4.15
	1.72	3.42	4.54	Watch
	1.7	3.1	4.8
	1.79	3.53	4.36
	1.69	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2)	3.34 ↑ (2.99)	4.47 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Follonica Gavorrano
52.3%

Draw
27.3%

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

30.4%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

29.1%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Follonica Gavorrano's performance.

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Follonica Gavorrano - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Bocci N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 1, Pescicani L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Recent performances by Follonica Gavorrano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sansepolcro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Follonica Gavorrano is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Follonica Gavorrano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Follonica Gavorrano	6	4	2	0	9:3	6	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E
11.01.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Poggibonsi	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Cannara - Follonica Gavorrano	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Tau Altopascio - Follonica Gavorrano	6:1 ✺
14.12.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Scandicci	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Orvietana - Follonica Gavorrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWT
- Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italian Serie D - Group E
11.01.26	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Tau Altopascio	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Scandicci - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	5:0 ✺
21.12.25	Camaiore - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Orvietana	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Trestina - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
04.02.24	Follonica Gavorrano - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	0:2
Coppa Italia Serie D
15.11.23	Follonica Gavorrano - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	3:1

Follonica Gavorrano - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide