The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Poggibonsi 33.9%
Draw 30.7%
Orvietana 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
30%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
29.4%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Poggibonsi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Orvietana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (+1%)
Poggibonsi - Orvietana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poggibonsi won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Poggibonsi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Poggibonsi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).