Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 16

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Foolad Arena (Ahvaz)


	Foolad Khuzestan		Chadormalou Ardakan

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.92	2.42
	2.38	2.63	3.25
	2.36	2.7	3.28	Watch
	2.37	2.57	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.94)	2.71 ↓ (2.89)	3.07 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foolad Khuzestan
36.3%

Draw
33.9%

Chadormalou Ardakan
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

31.5%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

31.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foolad Khuzestan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Foolad Khuzestan's performance.

Chadormalou Ardakan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chadormalou Ardakan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foolad Khuzestan than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foolad Khuzestan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chadormalou Ardakan than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chadormalou Ardakan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Foolad Khuzestan - Chadormalou Ardakan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chadormalou will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Foolad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foolad won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Foolad won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Foolad	6	2	3	1	5:3	2	9
10	Chadormalu	7	2	2	3	4:9	-5	8

Last Results with these Odds

Chadormalou Ardakan - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.66%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foolad Khuzestan FC
Iran Pro League
26.12.25	Fajr Sepasi - Foolad Khuzestan	1:2 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
20.12.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Chadormalou Ardakan	2:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
15.12.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
10.12.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Foolad Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Aluminium Arak	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLTT
- Chadormalou Ardakan
Iran Pro League
27.12.25	Sepahan - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
20.12.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Chadormalou Ardakan	2:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
15.12.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:1 ✺
10.12.25	Fajr Sepasi - Chadormalou Ardakan	1:2 ✺
04.12.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Hazfi Cup
20.12.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Chadormalou Ardakan	2:0
Iran Pro League
19.08.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Foolad Khuzestan	1:0
01.05.25	Chadormalou Ardakan - Foolad Khuzestan	1:1
19.12.24	Foolad Khuzestan - Chadormalou Ardakan	2:1
Iran Hazfi Cup
08.02.24	Foolad Khuzestan - Chadormalou Ardakan	0:1

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