Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Mercadal		Cardassar

	1	X	2
	2.08	3	3.3
	2.11	3	3.66
	2.11	2.97	3.61
	2.1	2.8	3.5
	2.07	2.9	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.3)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)	3.54 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercadal
43.4%

Draw
31%

Cardassar
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

31.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

30.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Cardassar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardassar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Mercadal - Cardassar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 12).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Mercadal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mercadal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mercadal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Cardassar	5	3	1	1	10:4	6	10
12	Mercadal	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
21.03.26	Manacor - Mercadal	3:0 ✺
18.03.26	Portmany - Mercadal	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Mercadal - Rotlet Molinar	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Mercadal - Binissalem	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	Collerense - Mercadal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTTTL
- CD Cardassar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
22.03.26	Cardassar - Binissalem	2:4 ✺
14.03.26	Felanitx - Cardassar	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Cardassar - Peña Deportiva	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Portmany - Cardassar	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Cardassar - Rotlet Molinar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
16.11.25	Cardassar - Mercadal	2:1

Mercadal - Cardassar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide