Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Formentera		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.75	2.75
	2.6	2.9	2.6
	2.55	2.85	2.7
	2.86	2.65	2.96
	2.66	2.92	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.31)	2.81 ↓ (2.87)	2.75 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Formentera
34.5%

Draw
32.4%

Numancia
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

31.6%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

21.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Formentera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Formentera - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Formentera is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Numancia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Formentera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Formentera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.03.22	Ebro - Formentera	0:0 ✺
27.02.22	Formentera - Brea	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Teruel - Formentera	1:0 ✺
13.02.22	Formentera - Huesca B	3:1 ✺
06.02.22	Tarazona - Formentera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLWL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.03.22	Numancia - Brea	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Huesca B - Numancia	2:2 ✺
20.02.22	Numancia - Ejea	3:0 ✺
13.02.22	Peña Deportiva - Numancia	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Numancia - Terrassa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
24.10.21	Numancia - Formentera	2:1

Upcoming Matches