Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 1

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)


	Fortaleza CEIF		Leones

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.5	13	Watch
	1.19	5.5	13.5
	1.23	5.57	13.49	Watch
	1.22	4.8	13
	1.21	5.05	13.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.35)	5.28 ↑ (4.52)	13.34 ↑ (9.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
75.7%

Draw
17.4%

Leones
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

20.7%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

19.6%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza CEIF's performance.

Leones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fortaleza CEIF - Leones Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Fortaleza (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Cuero S. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Ramirez D. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 0, Wilke T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 4 - 0, Navarro S. (Penalty Awarded),
81', 4 - 1, Rodriguez Cespedes C. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2.

Fortaleza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leones is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of home games.

In this match, Fortaleza is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Inter Bogotá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWT
- Leones FC
Colombian Primera B
18.04.26	Orsomarso - Leones	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Leones - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Patriotas - Leones	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Barranquilla - Leones	3:0 ✺
20.03.26	Leones - Internacional de Palmira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
12.06.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Leones	1:1
Colombian Primera B
04.11.23	Leones - Fortaleza CEIF	3:0
22.10.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Leones	2:1
30.08.23	Fortaleza CEIF - Leones	3:1
12.03.23	Leones - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2
02.09.22	Leones - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1
19.02.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Leones	1:2

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