Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Francisco Rivera Escobar (Palmira) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Colombia	18:00	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	19:00	Fanatiz


	Internacional de Palmira		Orsomarso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.00	3.50
	2.05	3	3.55	Watch
	2.13	3.01	3.88
	2.3	3.03	3.27	Watch
	2	2.95	3.8
	1.98	2.96	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.05	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.97)	3 ↓ (3.35)	3.61 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional de Palmira
44.2%

Draw
30.5%

Orsomarso
25.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.4%

26.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

26.5%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional de Palmira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Internacional de Palmira - Orsomarso Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Inter Palmira will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cuesta W. (G) 25. Alvarez A. 4. Ariza Y. 23. Correa R. 19. Gonzalez K. 30. Mina Chara J. E. 7. Mosquera J. 18. Mosquera J. 11. Padilla Kevin 31. Popo J. 80. Suarez H.	1. Blanco I. (G) 9. Arrechea S. 32. Barreiro J. 5. Barrios D. 7. Caicedo B. 24. Campaz B. 15. Gomez K. M. 26. Gonzalez S. 22. Matamba D. 10. Ruiz A. 28. Valencia Y.
Substitutes
28. Abonia J. 9. Brochero R. 10. Cardona J. 21. Moreno J. 14. Orozco D. 0. Ortiz B. 1. Perez A. (G) 34. Velez E. 32. Viveros E.	6. Agamez S. 27. Contreras J. 30. Cossio C. (G) 29. Martinez S. 11. Preciado M. . Sanchez M. 2. Vargas N. . Villarreal J. 14. Zarante

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Gomez K. M. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Barrios D. (Penalty Awarded),
23', Mosquera J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Gonzalez K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Barrios D. 🟨,
59', Arrechea S. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
59', Ruiz A. ↓, Villarreal J. ↑,
64', Suarez H. 🟨,
66', Mosquera J. ↓, Cardona J. ↑,
74', Mosquera J. ↓, Velez E. ↑,
74', Correa R. ↓, Brochero R. ↑,
83', Alvarez A. ↓, Orozco D. ↑,
90+5', Agamez S. 🟨,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Palmira won 2.

Inter Palmira has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Orsomarso has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Orsomarso may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Inter Palmira for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Inter Palmira has recorded 11 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:17 (averaging 1.4:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Inter Palmira against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:5 goals (averaging 1.3:0.5 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Orsomarso	15	4	5	6	11:14	-3	17
14	Inter Palmira	15	4	4	7	11:17	-6	16

Last Results with these Odds

Orsomarso - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 27.94%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Palmira
Colombian Primera B
11.10.26	Envigado - Internacional de Palmira	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Tigres - Internacional de Palmira	1:0 ✺
28.09.26	Internacional de Palmira - Leones	1:0 ✺
22.09.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Internacional de Palmira	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cartagena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLWWW
- Orsomarso SC
Colombian Primera B
12.10.26	Orsomarso - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0 ✺
05.10.26	Orsomarso - Deportes Quindío	0:1 ✺
01.10.26	Envigado - Orsomarso	0:0 ✺
28.09.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Orsomarso	4:3 ✺
22.09.26	Real Santander - Orsomarso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
30.03.26	Orsomarso - Internacional de Palmira	1:2
13.10.25	Orsomarso - Internacional de Palmira	0:0
06.09.25	Internacional de Palmira - Orsomarso	1:1
04.05.25	Internacional de Palmira - Orsomarso	1:1
29.03.25	Orsomarso - Internacional de Palmira	0:2
04.09.24	Internacional de Palmira - Orsomarso	0:0
27.07.24	Orsomarso - Internacional de Palmira	2:1

Internacional de Palmira - Orsomarso