The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortaleza CEIF 27.1%
Draw 29.1%
Once Caldas 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
29%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
29.7%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza CEIF's form might have worsened.
Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Once Caldas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Once Caldas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Fortaleza CEIF - Once Caldas Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Barlasina W. (G) 16. Cajares J. 6. Diaz Y. 2. Copete A. 23. Castillo J. 28. Vivas S. 14. Pico L. (C) 30. Solis J. 20. Blanco J. 8. Navarro S. 29. Wilke T.
99. Parra J. (G) 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 2. Cardona J. 30. Londono D. 3. Correa A. 23. Colorado A. (C) 29. Torres E. 9. Gomez P. 20. Roa A. 7. Barrios M. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A.
Substitutes
11. Batioja A. 4. Cabezas E. 25. Garcia J. 5. Medina Obando J. 13. Mejia B. 19. Pulicastro F. 24. Salas J. 12. Santander C. (G) 27. Sinisterra J.
15. Alvarado J. 16. Castano J. 25. Gallego J. (G) 21. Guzman H. 17. Moreno D. 33. Patino J. 42. Quinones J. 19. Rojas T. 28. Zuleta M.
Coaches
Arias D.
Herrera H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Navarro S. ⚽,
33', Castillo J. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
41', 1 - 1, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽, Cuesta Santos J. D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Torres E. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
54', Wilke T. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
56', Navarro S. 🟨,
57', Correa A. 🟨,
61', Solis J. 🟥,
62', Correa A. ↓, Patino J. ↑,
68', Gomez P. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
69', Barrios M. ↓, Guzman H. ↑,
79', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Moreno D. ⚽, Cuesta Santos J. D. (A),
84', Navarro S. ↓, Batioja A. ↑,
84', Blanco J. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
84', Vivas S. ↓, Mejia B. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Once Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Once Caldas has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).