Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	4.1	Watch
	1.8	3.75	3.85	Watch
	1.86	4	4.1
	1.79	4.01	4.06	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.9
	1.81	3.75	4.03	Watch
	1.77	3.8	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.75)	3.84 ↑ (3.76)	4.03 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
52.3%

Draw
24.4%

Greuther Fürth
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

24.6%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

23.9%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Greuther Fürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Fürth will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 2 - 50%). Fürth (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Fürth (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Fürth (3.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Fürth (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 15. Oberdorf T. 2. Daland J. 44. Egouli E. 19. Iyoha E. 8. El Azzouzi A. 46. Suso S. 10. Rasmussen C. 23. Appelkamp S. 24. Muslija F. 13. Itten C.	21. Schlieck T. (G) 4. Ziereis P. 5. Munz R. 27. Itter G. 23. Dehm J. 33. Dietz M. 37. Green J. 16. Keller A. 14. Consbruch J. 10. Hrgota B. 9. Futkeu N.
Substitutes
9. Celar Z. 30. de Wijs J. 5. Heyer M. 3. Lenz C. 1. Lotka M. (G) 7. Raimund L. 22. Schmidt D. 4. Schmidt K. 25. Zimmermann M.	49. Akhalaia L. 44. Avlayici M. 26. Boevink P. (G) 18. Higl F. 38. Marita R. 8. Olesen M. 2. Reich L. 42. Sillah O. 7. Srbeny D.
Coaches
Anfang M.	Vogel H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Rasmussen C. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Itten C. ⚽, Muslija F. (A),
38', Egouli E. 🟨,
44', Muslija F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 2 - 0, Muslija F. ⚽,
66', Ziereis P. ↓, Olesen M. ↑,
66', Consbruch J. ↓, Srbeny D. ↑,
70', Olesen M. 🟨,
74', El Azzouzi A. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
75', Rasmussen C. ↓, Raimund L. ↑,
75', Appelkamp S. ↓, Lenz C. ↑,
77', Dehm J. ↓, Sillah O. ↑,
85', Heyer M. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Futkeu N. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Green J. ↓, Reich L. ↑,
86', Itter G. ↓, Marita R. ↑,
87', Daland J. ↓, Schmidt K. ↑,
89', Reich L. 🟨,
90+2', Muslija F. ↓, Zimmermann M. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 2.

Fortuna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fürth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fürth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fortuna could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Fortuna: Alexandropoulos S. (Muscle Injury) Breithaupt T. (Injury) Lunddal V. (Foot Injury) Oberdorf T. (Red Card) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Fürth: Banse S. (Knee Injury) Bjarnason B. (Muscle Injury) John M. (Muscle Injury) Klaus F. (Yellow Cards) Konig N. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
14.12.25	Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
12.12.25	Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin	3:3 ✺
07.12.25	Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Greuther Fürth - Bochum	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Darmstadt - Greuther Fürth	4:2 ✺
07.11.25	Greuther Fürth - Preußen Münster	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
28.02.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth	1:2
27.09.24	Greuther Fürth - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2
20.04.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth	1:0
12.11.23	Greuther Fürth - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0
18.02.23	Greuther Fürth - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1
14.08.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth	2:2
23.05.21	Greuther Fürth - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:2

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