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Current Win Probability
Fortuna Köln 50%
Draw 25.2%
Fortuna Düsseldorf II 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
26.1%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
26.6%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortuna Köln's performance.
Fortuna Düsseldorf II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Düsseldorf II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Köln that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf II than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Düsseldorf II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fortuna Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf II Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Garlipp L. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Wirtz E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Garlipp L. ⚽,
49', 2 - 2, Thier N. ⚽,
85', 3 - 2, Al Ghaddioui H. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Köln won 2.
Fortuna Köln has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Fortuna II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Fortuna Köln might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Köln won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Köln won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
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