The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortuna Sittard 35.5%
Draw 26.4%
NEC Nijmegen 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.7%
26.4%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
25.5%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Sittard that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
6.7%
86.7%
Fortuna Sittard - NEC Nijmegen Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.5 - Nijmegen (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
NEC Nijmegen will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): NEC Nijmegen will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Branderhorst M. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 4. Adewoye S. 44. Marquez I. 8. Dahlhaus J. 23. Brittijn P. 80. Fosso R. 18. Limnios D. 17. Lonwijk J. 7. Peterson K. 52. Ihattaren M.
1. Crettaz G. (G) 2. Pereira B. 23. Sano K. 24. Verdonk C. 25. Ouaissa S. 71. Proper D. 32. van Crooij V. 11. Onal B. 10. Chery T. (C) 21. Gonzalez R. 30. Linssen B.
Substitutes
19. Gladon P. 28. Hubner J. 21. Kerkez M. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 25. Martens N. (G) 26. Mendes H. 38. Schenkhuizen T. 77. Tunjic L.
8. Darelas A. 35. de Laat S. 34. El Kachati Y. 36. Entius F. (G) 7. Misidjan V. 18. Ogawa K. 5. Ouwejan T. 38. Overmars M. (G) 33. Sbai Y. 9. Shiogai K.
Coaches
Buijs D.
Schreuder D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Ihattaren M. ⚽, Peterson K. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Linssen B. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Ihattaren M. (Pen),
39', Dahlhaus J. 🟨,
45+6', Chery T. 🟨,
45+6', Peterson K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Onal B. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
58', Linssen B. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
58', Gonzalez R. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
61', Branderhorst M. 🟨,
65', Ihattaren M. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Ouaissa S. ⚽, Misidjan V. (A),
73', Lonwijk J. ↓, Hubner J. ↑,
73', Limnios D. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
74', Hubner J. 🟨,
88', Peterson K. ↓, Mendes H. ↑,
88', Marquez I. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Gladon P. ⚽, Brittijn P. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 0.
Fortuna Sittard has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nijmegen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Nijmegen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of home games.
Nijmegen could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S.
(Illness)
Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Embalo U.
(Suspended)
Gladon P.
(Inactive)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Sierhuis K.
(Inactive)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
van Ottele S.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:36. (average 1.1:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.7:2.2).
Last Results with these Odds
NEC Nijmegen - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.9%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Netherlands
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Branderhorst M. (G) 
Pinto I. (C) 
Adewoye S. 
Marquez I. 
Fosso R. 
Limnios D. 
Lonwijk J. 
Peterson K. 
Ihattaren M. 
Crettaz G. (G) 
Pereira B. 
Sano K. 
Verdonk C. 
Onal B. 
Kerkez M. 
Mendes H. 
Tunjic L. 
