The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Heerenveen 45.6%
Draw 23.9%
NEC Nijmegen 30.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.6%
23%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
24.7%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heerenveen's form might have worsened.
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NEC Nijmegen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heerenveen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
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Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Eredivisie Conference League - Playoffs and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2.
Heerenveen is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Nijmegen has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Heerenveen could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Heerenveen is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Heerenveen has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:32 (averaging 1.3:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Heerenveen against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:11 goals (averaging 0.9:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Heerenveen
10
4
3
3
18:13
5
15
12
Nijmegen
10
2
5
3
17:18
-1
11
Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now
Heerenveen: 0.24% Nijmegen: 0.17%
Last Results with these Odds
Heerenveen - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.62%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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