Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam)

Referee: Blank E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN Extra


	Sparta Rotterdam		Fortuna Sittard

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.55	3.95
	1.91	3.7	3.85
	1.86	3.79	3.88	Watch
	1.91	3.69	4.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.86)	3.67 ↓ (3.79)	3.96 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Rotterdam
49.9%

Draw
26%

Fortuna Sittard
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

24.9%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	5%	10%

Sparta Rotterdam - Fortuna Sittard Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sparta Rotterdam will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sparta Rotterdam will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Drommel J. (G) 2. Bakari S. 3. Young M. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 5. van Aanholt P. 6. Baas J. 8. Kitolano J. 7. van Bergen M. 10. Duijvestijn L. 11. Mito S. 9. Lauritsen T.	31. Branderhorst M. (G) 12. Pinto I. 4. Adewoye S. 44. Marquez I. 8. Dahlhaus J. 23. Brittijn P. 20. Michut E. 80. Fosso R. 52. Ihattaren M. 9. Sierhuis K. 18. Limnios D.
Substitutes
20. Bednarek F. (G) 18. Clement P. 15. Kleijn M. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 13. Martes L. 17. Oufkir A. 12. Sambo S. 21. Santos A. 22. Seedorf J. 19. Thorisson N. 16. Toornstra J. 14. Velthuis T.	11. Aiko M. 22. Bastien S. 19. Gladon P. 28. Hubner J. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 17. Lonwijk J. 25. Martens N. (G) 26. Mendes H. 7. Peterson K. 77. Tunjic L. 6. van Ottele S.
Coaches
Steijn M.	Buijs D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Kitolano J. ⚽, van Bergen M. (A),
39', Fosso R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Sierhuis K. ⚽,
65', Brittijn P. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
66', Limnios D. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
68', Young M. 🟨,
72', van Aanholt P. ↓, Kleijn M. ↑,
72', Mito S. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
82', Sierhuis K. ↓, Lonwijk J. ↑,
82', Ihattaren M. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
82', Martins Indi B. ↓, Velthuis T. ↑,
82', Kitolano J. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
90+1', Michut E. ↓, van Ottele S. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Sparta Rotterdam is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Quintero T. (Red Card)

There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Halilovic A. (Ankle Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury) van Ottele S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: de Ligt M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S. (Heart Problems) Bayram R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:15. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
08.11.25	Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	5:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Telstar	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LLWWW
- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
08.11.25	Fortuna Sittard - Heerenveen	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	5:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	Gemert - Fortuna Sittard	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.25	Fortuna Sittard - Groningen	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Excelsior - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
29.03.25	Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam	0:3
28.09.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Fortuna Sittard	1:1
30.03.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Fortuna Sittard	4:0
13.01.24	Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam	0:2
03.02.23	Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam	0:0
29.10.22	Sparta Rotterdam - Fortuna Sittard	3:1
16.04.22	Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam	3:0

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