The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sparta Rotterdam 49.9%
Draw 24.9%
Fortuna Sittard 25.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.7%
27.5%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
28.1%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sparta Rotterdam's performance.
Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Sittard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sparta Rotterdam that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Sittard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
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Sparta Rotterdam - Fortuna Sittard Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 2.
Sparta Rotterdam is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Fortuna Sittard is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Sparta Rotterdam is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sparta Rotterdam has recorded 9 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:17 (averaging 1.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sparta Rotterdam against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 20:11 goals (averaging 2:1.1 per game).