Match Info

Date: 18 August 2021, Wednesday


	Forward Madison		Toronto FC II

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.4
	1.95	3.4	3.5
	1.89	3.25	3.55
	1.93	3.39	3.76
	1.93	3.38	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.12)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	3.57 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
47.4%

Draw
27.1%

Toronto FC II
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.6%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

18.7%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forward Madison that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Forward Madison - Toronto FC II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Toronto II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Forward Madison will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Forward Madison won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
14.08.21	Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta	2:1 ✺
31.07.21	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison	1:1 ✺
24.07.21	Forward Madison - Fort Lauderdale Strikers	1:1 ✺
16.07.21	Union Omaha - Forward Madison	1:1 ✺
10.07.21	North Texas - Forward Madison	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTTTL
- Toronto FC II
USL League One
06.08.21	Toronto FC II - Richmond Kickers	2:1 ✺
30.07.21	Toronto FC II - Greenville Triumph	0:0 ✺
23.07.21	New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II	1:0 ✺
18.07.21	North Carolina - Toronto FC II	2:4 ✺
09.07.21	New England Revolution II - Toronto FC II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
31.07.19	Toronto FC II - Forward Madison	1:4
28.06.19	Toronto FC II - Forward Madison	1:1

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