Match Info

Date: 10 July 2021, Saturday


	North Texas		Forward Madison

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.15
	2.8	3.65	2.15
	2.85	3.2	2.26
	3.06	3.34	2.33
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	2.89	3.34	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.37)	3.34 ↑ (3.28)	2.24 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Texas
31.8%

Draw
27.4%

Forward Madison
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

27.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

19.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Texas's form might have worsened.

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forward Madison's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+21.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Texas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forward Madison, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

North Texas - Forward Madison Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Forward Madison could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Forward Madison have a series of home games.

Forward Madison will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches North Texas won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams North Texas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Texas SC
USL League One
03.07.21	Richmond Kickers - North Texas	3:2 ✺
26.06.21	New England Revolution II - North Texas	3:0 ✺
19.06.21	North Texas - Tucson	0:0 ✺
13.06.21	North Texas - Greenville Triumph	3:0 ✺
29.05.21	North Texas - Toronto FC II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLTWT
- Forward Madison
USL League One
30.06.21	Forward Madison - New England Revolution II	1:0 ✺
23.06.21	Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison	2:2 ✺
19.06.21	Forward Madison - New England Revolution II	0:2 ✺
12.06.21	Forward Madison - Richmond Kickers	0:0 ✺
06.06.21	Forward Madison - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
21.10.20	Forward Madison - North Texas	0:1
25.07.20	North Texas - Forward Madison	2:1
12.10.19	North Texas - Forward Madison	2:0
22.09.19	Forward Madison - North Texas	1:0
22.06.19	Forward Madison - North Texas	4:1
22.05.19	North Texas - Forward Madison	3:1

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