Match Info

USL League One

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Forward Madison		Spokane Velocity

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.40	3.30
	1.98	3.35	3.15
	1.91	3.72	3.54
	2.21	3.66	2.9	Watch
	1.89	3.60	3.50
	1.93	3.74	3.54	Watch
	1.89	3.45	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.02)	3.56 ↑ (3.25)	3.32 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
46.8%

Draw
25.7%

Spokane Velocity
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27.5%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

26.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Forward Madison - Spokane Velocity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harms J. (G) 20. Carmichael K. 5. Shannon J. 4. McCamy C. 23. Munjoma E. 12. Torres R. 8. Segbers M. (C) 6. Kanyane G. 9. Carmichael R. 11. Ngoubou C. 7. Bolma J.	1. Lewis S. (G) 13. Opara L. 3. Spielman N. 12. Miller C. 33. Mensah M. 19. Denton J. 6. Fernandez C. 17. Alexandre M. 10. Gil L. (C) 18. Waldeck D. 16. Pelaez A.
Substitutes
57. Augee B. 3. Edwards A. 99. Flores K. (G) 14. Gyamfi S. 13. Humphrey T. 30. Machacen E. 19. Manske T. (G) 33. Toure K.	9. Brett N. 20. Covi I. 34. Elmasnaouy A. 7. Gallardo J. 14. Hernandez M. 23. Merancio C. (G) 8. Vinyals N.
Coaches
Glaeser M.	Veidman L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fernandez C. ↓, Elmasnaouy A. ↑,
48', McCamy C. 🟨,
53', Glaeser M. 🟨,
57', Pelaez A. 🟨,
65', Ngoubou C. ↓, Gyamfi S. ↑,
65', Bolma J. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
65', Segbers M. ↓, Augee B. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Denton J. ⚽, Opara L. (A),
76', Denton J. ↓, Vinyals N. ↑,
76', Pelaez A. ↓, Brett N. ↑,
78', Shannon J. ↓, Toure K. ↑,
83', Spielman N. 🟨,
83', Carmichael R. 🟨,
87', Gil L. ↓, Covi I. ↑,
90+3', Torres R. ↓, Machacen E. ↑,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ USL League One PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 7th in the Promotion ~ USL League One PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Forward Madison is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs Quarter~finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Spokane could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Forward Madison holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Forward Madison has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:4 (averaging 1.2:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Forward Madison against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 0.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Forward Madison ✔	29	15	7	7	50:27	23	52
6	Spokane Velocity	27	14	5	8	41:36	5	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
19.09.26	Forward Madison - AV Alta	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Forward Madison - Sarasota Paradise	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Corpus Christi - Forward Madison	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTWT
- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
20.09.26	Spokane Velocity - Boise	2:2 ✺
16.09.26	Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sarasota Paradise - Spokane Velocity	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Westchester SC - Spokane Velocity	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Spokane Velocity - Greenville Triumph	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
01.07.26	Spokane Velocity - Forward Madison	0:1
21.08.25	Forward Madison - Spokane Velocity	0:1
14.06.25	Spokane Velocity - Forward Madison	2:1
09.11.24	Forward Madison - Spokane Velocity	0:1 penalties
21.09.24	Forward Madison - Spokane Velocity	2:0
19.05.24	Spokane Velocity - Forward Madison	0:3

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