Match Info

USL League One

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Forward Madison		South Georgia Tormenta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.25
	2.06	3.39	3.44
	2.03	3.44	3.42	Watch
	2.01	3.28	3.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.97)	3.34 ↑ (3.33)	3.37 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
45.4%

Draw
27.4%

South Georgia Tormenta
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

27.3%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

26.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

South Georgia Tormenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schipmann B. (G) 2. Chilaka M. 5. Mehl T. 16. Crull J. 77. Brown N. 10. Mesias A. 6. Murphy J. 11. Garcia C. 24. Bartman N. 17. Gebhard D. (C) 70. Lucca Dourado	13. Jones S. (G) 6. Stretch C. 23. Rasheed M. 4. Nare T. 3. Gabriel Alves 28. Walker A. 8. Gabriel Cabral (C) 11. Nyandjo J. 58. Jimenez O. 71. Bwana H. 19. Bazini Y.
Substitutes
8. Boyce D. 19. Galindrez J. 36. Lapsley W. (G) 9. McLaughlin G. 25. Sousa F. 13. Temitayo E. 3. Viader D.	22. Doyle C. 14. Drey A. 10. Gray T. 26. Kasanzu J. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 16. Tunbridge M. 9. Vivas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Rasheed M. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Lucca Dourado ⚽, Gebhard D. (A),
45+2', Chilaka M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Jimenez O. ↓, Reid-Stephen N. ↑,
61', Nare T. ↓, Kasanzu J. ↑,
61', Bwana H. ↓, Tunbridge M. ↑,
63', Garcia C. ↓, Viader D. ↑,
67', Lucca Dourado ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
75', Bazini Y. ↓, Vivas S. ↑,
75', Walker A. ↓, Doyle C. ↑,
75', Gabriel Alves 🟨,
77', Bartman N. ↓, Galindrez J. ↑,
77', Gebhard D. ↓, Boyce D. ↑,
78', Nyandjo J. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
79', Vivas S. 🟨,
89', Brown N. ↓, Sousa F. ↑,
89', Chilaka M. ↓, Temitayo E. ↑,
90+3', Reid-Stephen N. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of home games.

Forward Madison will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
16.07.25	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph	3:1 ✺
05.07.25	Texoma - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
28.06.25	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	1:0 ✺
USL League One
18.06.25	Forward Madison - Westchester SC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLWL
- South Georgia Tormenta
USL League One
18.07.25	Union Omaha - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	South Georgia Tormenta - One Knoxville	1:2 ✺
06.07.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - South Georgia Tormenta	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
28.06.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Charleston Battery	3:4 penalties ✺
USL League One
25.06.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Naples	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
15.06.24	Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta	0:0
16.03.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Forward Madison	1:1
19.08.23	South Georgia Tormenta - Forward Madison	4:2
26.07.23	Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta	1:4
28.06.23	South Georgia Tormenta - Forward Madison	0:1
24.09.22	Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta	0:1
16.07.22	Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta	2:0

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