The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chattanooga Red Wolves 46.3%
Draw 24.7%
Forward Madison 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
28%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
27.9%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chattanooga Red Wolves's performance.
Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Forward Madison might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chattanooga Red Wolves that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forward Madison could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 23. Lelin Y. 2. Adewole T. 22. Kinzner E. 11. Ramos J. 4. Vaughan J. 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 66. Knapp M. 7. Hernandez O. 16. McManus B. 14. Hernandez P. (C)
19. Manske T. (G) 20. Carmichael K. 5. Shannon J. 33. Toure K. 3. Edwards A. 8. Segbers M. (C) 4. McCamy C. 24. Forbes J. 14. Gyamfi S. 57. Augee B. 11. Ngoubou C.
Substitutes
33. Ayimbila J. 10. Bentley M. 47. Binns R. 12. Jerez R. (G) 30. Lombardi A. 9. Mercer G. 17. Tapia O. 6. Wessels W.
9. Carmichael R. 38. Goumballe M. 1. Harms J. (G) 13. Humphrey T. 6. Kanyane G. 30. Machacen E. 23. Munjoma E.
Coaches
MacKenzie S.
Glaeser M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Hernandez O. ⚽, Lelin Y. (A),
28', Forbes J. 🟨,
36', Knapp M. 🟨,
42', McManus B. ↓, Bentley M. ↑,
45+5', Lelin Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Forbes J. ↓, Kanyane G. ↑,
46', Segbers M. ↓, Munjoma E. ↑,
50', Kinzner E. 🟨,
60', Edwards A. 🟨,
62', Carmichael K. ↓, Humphrey T. ↑,
62', Edwards A. ↓, Carmichael R. ↑,
63', Vaughan J. 🟨,
66', Vaughan J. ↓, Tapia O. ↑,
67', Knapp M. ↓, Wessels W. ↑,
75', Ngoubou C. ↓, Goumballe M. ↑,
83', Kelly-Rosales A. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
83', Lelin Y. ↓, Ayimbila J. ↑,
90', Glaeser M. 🟨,
90+6', Ayimbila J. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 2.
Chattanooga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Forward Madison is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Forward Madison ✔
29
15
7
7
50:27
23
52
7
Chattanooga Red Wolves
30
14
4
12
50:43
7
46
Last Results with these Odds
Forward Madison - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.42%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Smith J. (G) 
Lelin Y. 
Ramos J. 
Vaughan J. 
Kelly-Rosales A. 
Toure K. 
Gyamfi S. 
Ngoubou C. 
Jerez R. (G) 
Wessels W. 
Carmichael R. 
Machacen E. 
MacKenzie S. 
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