Match Info

Jia League - Round 7

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center (Foshan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Foshan Nanshi		Qingdao Red Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.75	2.6
	2.75	3	2.49	Watch
	2.95	3.05	2.62
	2.81	2.84	2.81	Watch
	2.82	2.81	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.71)	2.91 ↑ (2.85)	2.59 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foshan Nanshi
32.9%

Draw
31.6%

Qingdao Red Lions
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

32.1%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

32.2%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foshan Nanshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Qingdao Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Foshan Nanshi - Qingdao Red Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Yang Chao (G) 14. Yao Xilong 4. Luo Xin 17. Maslac M. 13. Zhang Xingbo 11. Zhong Ziqin 15. Chen Jie 6. Chen Guokang 9. Chang Feiya 7. Albarracin N. 10. Fortes C.	18. Li Ya'nan (G) 44. Wu Junhao 4. Zhao Chengle 11. Sun Xipeng 23. Zhang Liang 8. Jia Xiaochen 20. Nie Aoshuang 7. Nobrega J. 22. Iskandar B. 9. Rivaldinho 37. Chen Hao-Wei
Substitutes
35. He Mingli 16. Hua Mingcan 30. Huang Chuqi 19. Ou Xueqian 37. Qin Haoqing (G) 29. Sun Xiaobin 45. Wei Feng 24. Wu Yuchen 26. Yao-hsing Yu 28. Zhang Zhihao 8. Zhang Zichao 27. Zheng Junwei	15. Hao Yucheng 5. Liu Pujin 36. Lu K. 40. Pi Ziyang 19. Ren Lihao 43. Sheng Muze (G) 13. Tao Yuan 35. Zhang Shuai 16. Zhang Yixuan 6. Zheng Haokun 30. Zhou Jianyi 1. Zhu Quan (G)
Coaches
Esteva J.	Ma Yongkang

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Sun Xipeng 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Albarracin N. ⚽,
33', Fortes C. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Rivaldinho ⚽, Jia Xiaochen (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zhong Ziqin ↓, Huang Chuqi ↑,
58', Chen Jie ↓, Zhang Zichao ↑,
65', Iskandar B. ↓, Tao Yuan ↑,
77', Yao Xilong ↓, Sun Xiaobin ↑,
77', Chang Feiya ↓, Yao-hsing Yu ↑,
78', Jia Xiaochen ↓, Hao Yucheng ↑,
78', Zhang Liang ↓, Zhou Jianyi ↑,
89', Zhang Xingbo 🟨,
90+2', Albarracin N. ↓, Zheng Junwei ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Qingdao Red Lions may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Foshan Nanshi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Foshan Nanshi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
27.04.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Foshan Nanshi	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Foshan Nanshi - Dingnan United	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.04.25	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Foshan Nanshi	2:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
13.04.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Foshan Nanshi	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Foshan Nanshi - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLLW
- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
26.04.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Liaoning Tieren	1:3 ✺
22.04.25	Ningbo Professional - Qingdao Red Lions	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Qingdao Red Lions	0:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.04.25	Dingnan United - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Dalian Kun City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
14.07.24	Foshan Nanshi - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1
16.03.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Foshan Nanshi	0:0

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