Match Info

League One - Round 10

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Guangxi Sports Center (Nanning)


	Guangxi Hengchen		Foshan Nanshi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.7	5.5	Watch
	1.62	3.76	5.83
	1.55	3.96	5.82	Watch
	1.53	3.4	5.5
	1.53	3.6	5.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)	3.68 ↑ (3.56)	5.71 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Hengchen
59.1%

Draw
24.9%

Foshan Nanshi
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

25%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Foshan Nanshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Guangxi Hengchen aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Guangxi Hengchen - Foshan Nanshi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Liang Kun (G) 32. Li S. 5. Luan H. 2. Lu Jiaqiang 3. Yuan X. (C) 24. Ji X. 23. Khedrup Lobsang 44. Liang Yibin 10. Ardazishvili R. 11. Lapoussin L. 36. Mbo N.	36. Shi Xiaton (G) 2. Qian Yumiao 23. Wen Junjie 19. Liu H. 15. Benavides N. 8. Gabriel Bispo 13. Zhang Xingbo (C) 18. Han Kunda 45. Zhou Dadi 44. Antwi R. 11. Ndiaye M.
Substitutes
28. Ablimit Subi 19. Cen Liyi 7. Chen D. 21. Dai Ming 42. Ji Tianle 20. Lu Junhui 16. Ning W. 25. Ren K. 22. Shen Bokai (G) 18. Wei Chaolun 12. Yao-hsing Yu 17. Zhang Huajun	9. Chang Feiya 6. Chen Guokang 26. Ge Yifan (G) 5. Jin Liangkuan 39. Li Bowen 16. Li Ruiyue 12. Liu Zongyuan 7. Mu Zihan 31. Yao Hui 28. Yin B. 10. Zhong Ziqin
Coaches
Liu Junwei	Zhang Chiming

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Liu H. ⚽, Zhou Dadi (A),
18', Shi Xiaton 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Ardazishvili R. ⚽, Lapoussin L. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Lapoussin L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Qian Yumiao ↓, Chang Feiya ↑,
48', 2 - 2, Ndiaye M. ⚽,
55', 3 - 2, Lapoussin L. ⚽, Khedrup Lobsang (A),
65', Han Kunda ↓, Yin B. ↑,
72', 3 - 3, Antwi R. ⚽, Zhang Xingbo (A),
73', Lu Jiaqiang ↓, Ren K. ↑,
73', Ji X. ↓, Dai Ming ↑,
78', Zhou Dadi ↓, Mu Zihan ↑,
79', Khedrup Lobsang ↓, Wei Chaolun ↑,
79', Liang Yibin ↓, Zhang Huajun ↑,
81', Mbo N. ↓, Yao-hsing Yu ↑,
84', Yin B. 🟨,
90+3', Antwi R. ↓, Liu Zongyuan ↑,
90+4', Ardazishvili R. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

Guangxi Hengchen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Foshan Nanshi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guangxi Hengchen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Guangxi Hengchen will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Guangxi Hengchen	25	13	6	6	40:27	13	45
16	Foshan Nanshi	25	3	7	15	25:49	-24	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Jia League
23.05.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.26	Hubei Istar - Guangxi Hengchen	0:4 ✺
Chinese Jia League
10.05.26	Yanbian Longding - Guangxi Hengchen	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Hengchen	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTWW
- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
23.05.26	Foshan Nanshi - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
15.05.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Foshan Nanshi	1:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
10.05.26	Foshan Nanshi - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Dalian Kun City - Foshan Nanshi	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Foshan Nanshi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLTTW

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