Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 17

Date: 20 December 2023, Wednesday


	Fossombrone		Tivoli Calcio

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.3	4.6
	1.65	3.45	4.74
	1.57	3.4	4.6
	1.63	3.5	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.48)	3.41 ↓ (3.64)	4.72 ↓ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fossombrone
54.9%

Draw
26.2%

Tivoli Calcio
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

24.9%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

24.1%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fossombrone's form might have worsened.

Tivoli Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tivoli Calcio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fossombrone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Calcio than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tivoli Calcio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fossombrone - Tivoli Calcio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Fossombrone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fossombrone is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F
10.12.23	Fossombrone - Roma City	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Atletico Ascoli - Fossombrone	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Fossombrone - Vigor Senigallia	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Campobasso - Fossombrone	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Fossombrone - L Aquila	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWLT
- Tivoli Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.12.23	Tivoli Calcio - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Avezzano - Tivoli Calcio	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Tivoli Calcio - Sora	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Fano - Tivoli Calcio	0:3 ✺
19.11.23	Roma City - Tivoli Calcio	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLTWL

Fossombrone - Tivoli Calcio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide