Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PARANAENSE - ROUND 10

Date: 15 February 2023, Wednesday


	Foz do Iguaçu		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	8.5	4	1.33
	7.25	4.33	1.35
	9	4.2	1.25
	9.29	4.04	1.37
	8.5	3.9	1.35
	8	4.4	1.36	Watch
	7.6	4.3	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.31 ↑ (5.45)	4.17 ↑ (3.54)	1.34 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foz do Iguaçu
10.9%

Draw
21.7%

Operário Ferroviario
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

25.2%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

24%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foz do Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Foz do Iguaçu's form might have worsened.

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Operário Ferroviario's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foz do Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Foz do Iguaçu - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Foz do Iguaçu has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Operário Ferroviario is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Operário Ferroviario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Operário Ferroviario is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Foz do Iguaçu won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Foz do Iguaçu won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foz do Iguaçu FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
12.02.23	Azuriz - Foz do Iguaçu	2:0 ✺
09.02.23	Foz do Iguaçu - Londrina	1:3 ✺
05.02.23	Rio Branco PR - Foz do Iguaçu	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Foz do Iguaçu - São-Joseense	2:5 ✺
28.01.23	Cianorte - Foz do Iguaçu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
11.02.23	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	3:1 ✺
08.02.23	Operário Ferroviario - Rio Branco PR	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	FC Cascavel - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Operário Ferroviario - Aruko Sports	2:1 ✺
29.01.23	Operário Ferroviario - Maringá	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
31.03.19	Foz do Iguaçu - Operário Ferroviario	0:0
27.03.16	Operário Ferroviario - Foz do Iguaçu	1:0
19.04.15	Operário Ferroviario - Foz do Iguaçu	2:0
12.04.15	Foz do Iguaçu - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
04.02.15	Operário Ferroviario - Foz do Iguaçu	2:0

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