Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PARANAENSE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Referee: Martins A. (Bra)


	Operário Ferroviario		Aruko Sports

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.52	3.5	5.5
	1.5	3.45	5.5
	1.62	3.57	5.34
	1.59	3.68	5.4	Watch
	1.52	3.7	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 (1.54)	3.58 ↓ (3.68)	5.59 ↑ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
58.6%

Draw
25.2%

Aruko Sports
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

24.7%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

24.1%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Aruko Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aruko Sports than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Operário Ferroviario - Aruko Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Operário Ferroviario could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Operário Ferroviario have a series of guest games.

In this match Operário Ferroviario is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Operário Ferroviario won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Operário Ferroviario won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
05.03.23	Aruko Sports - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Operário MS - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
26.02.23	Operário Ferroviario - Coritiba	3:0 ✺
15.02.23	Foz do Iguaçu - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL
- Aruko Sports
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
05.03.23	Aruko Sports - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Cianorte - Aruko Sports	0:2 ✺
15.02.23	Aruko Sports - Azuriz	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Aruko Sports - FC Cascavel	2:1 ✺
08.02.23	São-Joseense - Aruko Sports	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
05.03.23	Aruko Sports - Operário Ferroviario	1:2
01.02.23	Operário Ferroviario - Aruko Sports	2:1

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