Match Info

Date: 22 March 2021, Monday


	Francavilla		Picerno

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.9
	3.25	3.55	1.93
	3.29	3.7	1.96
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.6	3.03	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3)	3.34 ↑ (3.1)	2.01 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Francavilla
27.3%

Draw
27.4%

Picerno
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

20.9%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francavilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Picerno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francavilla - Picerno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D to Group A and 6).

Francavilla has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Picerno is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Picerno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Picerno will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Francavilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Francavilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Francavilla
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.03.21	Lavello - Francavilla	6:2 ✺
24.02.21	Francavilla - Molfetta	2:3 ✺
21.02.21	Portici - Francavilla	1:1 ✺
14.02.21	Fidelis Andria - Francavilla	2:1 ✺
07.02.21	Francavilla - Altamura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie D - Group H
10.03.21	Gravina - Picerno	0:0 ✺
06.03.21	Picerno - Fidelis Andria	2:0 ✺
24.02.21	Picerno - Nardo	0:1 ✺
21.02.21	Taranto - Picerno	1:1 ✺
10.02.21	Picerno - Sorrento	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
25.10.20	Picerno - Francavilla	2:0
31.03.19	Picerno - Francavilla	1:0
25.11.18	Francavilla - Picerno	1:1
28.01.18	Picerno - Francavilla	2:1
24.09.17	Francavilla - Picerno	2:3
27.11.16	Francavilla - Picerno	1:0
07.02.16	Picerno - Francavilla	1:0

Upcoming Matches