Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 24

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio (Picerno)


	Picerno		Fidelis Andria

	1	X	2
	1.83	2.85	4.5
	1.93	2.75	4.4
	1.86	2.8	4.2
	1.79	2.9	5.35
	1.8	2.88	4.8
	1.77	3.13	5	Watch
	1.88	3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.52)	2.9 ↓ (3.25)	4.65 ↓ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
49.3%

Draw
31.2%

Fidelis Andria
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

27.2%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

25.5%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Picerno's form might have worsened.

Fidelis Andria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Picerno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fidelis Andria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Picerno - Fidelis Andria Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Picerno will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Fidelis Andria will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Picerno: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Picerno won 4.

Recent matches Picerno is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fidelis Andria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Picerno is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Picerno won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Picerno won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
22.01.23	Turris - Picerno	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Picerno - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Foggia - Picerno	2:3 ✺
23.12.22	Picerno - Catanzaro	0:1 ✺
18.12.22	Pescara - Picerno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TTWLW
- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie C Group C
22.01.23	Fidelis Andria - Taranto	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Audace Cerignola - Fidelis Andria	2:0 ✺
07.01.23	Fidelis Andria - Viterbese	1:1 ✺
23.12.22	Potenza - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Fidelis Andria - Latina	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.22	Fidelis Andria - Picerno	1:1
10.04.22	Picerno - Fidelis Andria	3:0
05.12.21	Fidelis Andria - Picerno	2:3
Italian Serie D - Group A
19.06.21	Picerno - Fidelis Andria	2:1
Italian Serie D - Group H
06.03.21	Picerno - Fidelis Andria	2:0
18.10.20	Fidelis Andria - Picerno	1:2
10.02.19	Picerno - Fidelis Andria	1:0

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